This module provides students with theoretical knowledge and practical skills in time-series econometrics. The student is presented with the theoretical foundations of a variety of time series models. The module will build on the material taught in Applied Econometric Techniques, with an emphasis on its use in applied macroeconomics and empirical finance. Students will develop the skill set and confidence necessary for applied research in the public or private sectors, international organizations and academia.
A. Specify the distributional characteristics of a range of time series models and discuss the statistical properties of the time series and hypothesis tests correctly
B. Understand the univariate time series of AR, MA and ARMA models
C. Estimate appropriate models of financial time series in order to make forecasts and inferences
D. Understand the Maximum Likelihood estimation models in the context of GARCH
E. Accommodate seasonality, unit roots, volatility, causality and co-integration in financial time series analysis
F. Understand the multivariate model’s selection and evaluation methods
G. Acquire the necessary computer skills to apply to time series data
H. Critically evaluate academic literature in the field of financial and economic time series
The majority of the new content will be delivered through two-hour lectures, providing students with the basic theories, knowledge of econometric techniques and an introduction to the appropriate academic literatures.
Supplementing the technique training will be computer laboratories that introduce the necessary models in software, explain model estimation and the interpretation of output.
Students will complete the group assignment while actively acquiring the econometric skills and knowledge they require. Attendance of departmental seminars and references to journal articles will be encouraged to expose students to more advanced techniques and applications.